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On Friday, Iran declared the Strait of Hormuz open and markets roared back to life in response. US equities surged deep into record territory and oil prices collapsed. It appeared that the war in the Middle East was over.
Read more →US equity markets were joined trading at record highs by the Japanese Nikkei, satisfied that the Middle East war is all but over. Trump said as much, reassuring markets that the war was ‘close to over’.
Read more →US equity markets are trading back up towards record highs, brushing off the Middle East conflict, concluding a deal is close. Global markets appear more nervous, watching oil prices and the flow of shipping though the Strait of Hormuz.
Read more →Markets rallied overnight, with bond yields drifting lower and US equities heading back towards record highs. The failure in peace negotiations, between Iran and the USA, was brushed off. The US blockade and the far-reaching consequences of such a move surprised the Iranians.
Read more →Iran peace negotiations with the US, in Islamabad failed, following a long weekend of negotiations. Oil prices zoomed back to US$100pb, while equities nervously await further developments. President Trump immediately blocked the Strait of Hormuz to all shipping, in response, stranding the Iranians.
Read more →The ceasefire holds, with infractions, but market confidence is returning and oil prices are settling. If the resolution to the conflict becomes more permanent, then expect equities to return to pre-conflict levels and inflation to settle.
Read more →Global markets continued to stabilise overnight, with US equities consolidating further, following the massive gains achieved as a result of the ceasefire. The agreement appears to be holding, despite some reported breaches, allowing the US to plan their exit strategy.
Read more →Market confidence surged following the agreement of a two-week ceasefire, which included the opening of the Straits of Hormuz. Oil prices collapsed nearly US$20pb, while equities surged and bond yields tumbled.
Read more →The shadow of the Iran war hangs over markets. The US has imposed a deadline on Iran, coming later today, threatening unimaginable destruction upon the nation. Markets continue to trade nervously, ahead of the deadline, with equities in the negative and bond yields creeping higher.
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